Power Demand Forecasting and Application based on SVR
Author(s) -
Qing Guo,
Yuyao Feng,
Xiaolei Sun,
Lijun Zhang
Publication year - 2017
Publication title -
procedia computer science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.334
H-Index - 76
ISSN - 1877-0509
DOI - 10.1016/j.procs.2017.11.369
Subject(s) - computer science , power (physics) , support vector machine , production (economics) , power demand , operations research , industrial engineering , mathematical optimization , data mining , machine learning , power consumption , physics , mathematics , quantum mechanics , engineering , economics , macroeconomics
Power as one of the most important energy to promote the development of national economy, plays an essential role in the normal operation of all aspects of society. Because of its production and use are difficult to store in large quantities, it is necessary to forecast future demand, which will become an important basis for making power development plans. Considering the complex non-linear relationship between power demand and its influencing factors, it is difficult to describe it accurately with the traditional mathematical models. In this paper, we select six major influencing factors and use the support vector machine to predict future power demand. The prediction accuracy is improved by parameter optimizing. At the same time, the simulation experiment of Shandong Province is conducted to further verify the validity and feasibility of the model.
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