Is convalescent plasma futile in COVID-19? A Bayesian re-analysis of the RECOVERY randomized controlled trial
Author(s) -
Fergus Hamilton,
Todd C. Lee,
David Arnold,
Richard Lilford,
Karla Hemming
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
international journal of infectious diseases
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.278
H-Index - 89
eISSN - 1878-3511
pISSN - 1201-9712
DOI - 10.1016/j.ijid.2021.06.034
Subject(s) - convalescent plasma , covid-19 , bayesian probability , randomized controlled trial , medicine , statistics , mathematics , disease , infectious disease (medical specialty)
Randomized trials are generally performed from a frequentist perspective, which can conflate absence of evidence with evidence of absence. The RECOVERY trial evaluated convalescent plasma for patients hospitalized with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) and concluded that there was no evidence of an effect. Re-analysis from a Bayesian perspective is warranted.
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