Open AccessEstimating a breakpoint in the pattern of spread of COVID-19 in South Korea
Author(s) -
YoungJoo Kim,
Myung Hwan Seo,
HyunE Yeom
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
international journal of infectious diseases
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.278
H-Index - 89
eISSN - 1878-3511
pISSN - 1201-9712
DOI - 10.1016/j.ijid.2020.06.055
Subject(s) - counterfactual thinking , breakpoint , covid-19 , transmission (telecommunications) , transmission rate , statistics , demography , econometrics , geography , infectious disease (medical specialty) , disease , medicine , biology , computer science , mathematics , telecommunications , psychology , biochemistry , chromosomal translocation , sociology , gene , social psychology
It is critical to consider a change in the transmission rate to evaluate the spread trajectory of COVID-19 in South Korea. Our estimation and counterfactual experiments indicate that public health interventions may play a role in determining the spread pattern of infectious diseases.
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