A small continuous time macro-econometric model of the Czech Republic
Author(s) -
Emil Stavrev
Publication year - 2001
Publication title -
empirical economics
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.605
H-Index - 56
eISSN - 1435-8921
pISSN - 0377-7332
DOI - 10.1007/s001810100077
Subject(s) - czech , macro , economics , exchange rate , econometric model , capital (architecture) , econometrics , macroeconomics , computer science , history , philosophy , linguistics , archaeology , programming language
. In this paper we estimate a continuous time macro-econometric model of the Czech economy. The model is built as a system of twelve non-linear differential equations. We illustrate how the model can be used to determine the nominal equilibrium exchange rate of the Czech koruna in a macro-economic framework. The paper also investigates the effectiveness of monetary and fiscal policies in the presence of a fixed exchange rate regime and massive capital inflows. The search for an equilibrium path is outlined and stability and sensitivity analyses are provided, along with in-sample static and dynamic predictions with the approximate discrete analogue.
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