Analysis of a disease transmission model in a population with varying size
Author(s) -
Stavros Busenberg,
P. van den Driessche
Publication year - 1990
Publication title -
journal of mathematical biology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.928
H-Index - 97
eISSN - 1432-1416
pISSN - 0303-6812
DOI - 10.1007/bf00178776
Subject(s) - population size , transmission (telecommunications) , population , mathematics , population model , statistical physics , biology , statistics , econometrics , biological system , demography , computer science , physics , telecommunications , sociology
An S----I----R----S epidemiological model with vital dynamics in a population of varying size is discussed. A complete global analysis is given which uses a new result to establish the nonexistence of periodic solutions. Results are discussed in terms of three explicit threshold parameters which respectively govern the increase of the total population, the existence and stability of an endemic proportion equilibrium and the growth of the infective population. These lead to two distinct concepts of disease eradication which involve the total number of infectives and their proportion in the population.
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