The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections
Author(s) -
Barsugli Joseph J.,
Guentchev Galina,
Horton Radley M.,
Wood Andrew,
Mearns Linda O.,
Liang XinZhong,
Winkler Julie A.,
Dixon Keith,
Hayhoe Katharine,
Rood Richard B.,
Goddard Lisa,
Ray Andrea,
Buja Lawrence,
Ammann Caspar
Publication year - 2013
Publication title -
eos, transactions american geophysical union
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.316
H-Index - 86
eISSN - 2324-9250
pISSN - 0096-3941
DOI - 10.1002/2013eo460005
Subject(s) - downscaling , credibility , climate change , dilemma , general circulation model , climate model , environmental resource management , planner , climatology , environmental science , geography , environmental planning , computer science , meteorology , precipitation , political science , mathematics , ecology , geology , law , biology , programming language , geometry
Suppose you are a city planner, regional water manager, or wildlife conservation specialist who is asked to include the potential impacts of climate variability and change in your risk management and planning efforts. What climate information would you use? The choice is often regional or local climate projections downscaled from global climate models (GCMs; also known as general circulation models) to include detail at spatial and temporal scales that align with those of the decision problem. A few years ago this information was hard to come by. Now there is Web‐based access to a proliferation of high‐resolution climate projections derived with differing downscaling methods.
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