Open AccessSimulation-Based Estimation of SARS-CoV-2 Infections Associated With School Closures and Community-Based Nonpharmaceutical Interventions in Ontario, Canada
Author(s) -
David Naimark,
Sharmistha Mishra,
Kali Barrett,
Yasín A. Khan,
Stephen Mac,
Raphael Ximenes,
Beate Sander
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
jama network open
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.278
H-Index - 39
ISSN - 2574-3805
DOI - 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2021.3793
Subject(s) - psychological intervention , estimation , covid-19 , medicine , environmental health , virology , infectious disease (medical specialty) , nursing , outbreak , disease , management , economics , pathology
Key Points Question What is the association of school reopening or closure with incident and cumulative COVID-19 case numbers compared with other community-based nonpharmaceutical interventions? Findings In this decision analytical modelling study of a synthetic population of 1 000 000 individuals in Ontario, Canada, compared with community-based nonpharmaceutical interventions, school closure was associated with a small change in estimated COVID-19 incidence trajectories and cumulative case counts. Meaning These findings suggest that community-based interventions to reduce COVID-19 case counts should take precedence over school closure.
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