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Laboratory-scale data on a component level are frequently used for prognostics because acquiring them is time and cost efficient. However, they do not reflect actual field conditions. As prognostics is for an in-service system, the developed prognostic methods must be validated using real operational data obtained from an actual system. Because obtaining real operational data is much more expensive than obtaining test-level data, studies employing field data are scarce. In this study, a prognostic method for screws was presented by employing multi-source real operational data obtained from a micro-extrusion system. The analysis of real operational data is more challenging than that of test-level data because the mutual effect of each component in the system is chaotically reflected in the former. This paper presents a degradation feature extraction method for interpreting complex signals for a real extrusion system based on the physical and mechanical properties of the system as well as operational data. The data were analyzed based on general physical properties and the inferred interpretation was verified using the data. The extracted feature exhibits valid degradation behavior and is used to predict the remaining useful life of the screw in a real extrusion system.

Degradation Feature Extraction Method for Prognostics of an Extruder Screw Using Multi-Source Monitoring Data