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With the increasing digitalization and informatization of distribution network systems, distribution networks have gradually developed into distribution network cyber physical systems (CPS) which are deeply integrated with traditional power systems and cyber systems. However, at the same time, the network risk problems that the cyber systems face have also increased. Considering the possible cyber attack vulnerabilities in the distribution network CPS, a dynamic Bayesian network approach is proposed in this paper to quantitatively assess the security risk of the distribution network CPS. First, the Bayesian network model is constructed based on the structure of the distribution network and common vulnerability scoring system (CVSS). Second, a combination of the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) and entropy weight method is used to correct the selectivity of the attacker to strike the target when cyber attack vulnerabilities occur, and then after considering the defense resources of the system, the risk probability of the target nodes is obtained. Finally, the node loads and node risk rates are used to quantitatively assess the risk values that are applied to determine the risk level of the distribution network CPS, so that defense strategies can be given in advance to counter the adverse effects of cyber attack vulnerabilities.

Security Risk Assessment Approach for Distribution Network Cyber Physical Systems Considering Cyber Attack Vulnerabilities