Open AccessTrend Analysis and Forecasting the Spread of COVID-19 Pandemic in Ethiopia Using Box–Jenkins Modeling Procedure
Author(s) -
Yemane Asmelash Gebretensae,
Daniel Asmelash
Publication year - 2021
Publication title -
international journal of general medicine
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 0.722
H-Index - 36
ISSN - 1178-7074
DOI - 10.2147/ijgm.s306250
Subject(s) - autoregressive integrated moving average , box–jenkins , partial autocorrelation function , covid-19 , statistics , autocorrelation , pandemic , model selection , medicine , mean squared error , akaike information criterion , time series , mathematics , disease , infectious disease (medical specialty)
COVID-19, which causes severe acute respiratory syndrome, is spreading rapidly across the world, and the severity of this pandemic is rising in Ethiopia. The main objective of the study was to analyze the trend and forecast the spread of COVID-19 and to develop an appropriate statistical forecast model.