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A Scenario Approach to the Simonshaven Case
Author(s) -
van Koppen Peter J.,
Mackor Anne Ruth
Publication year - 2020
Publication title -
topics in cognitive science
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 1.191
H-Index - 56
eISSN - 1756-8765
pISSN - 1756-8757
DOI - 10.1111/tops.12429
Subject(s) - argumentation theory , strengths and weaknesses , computer science , probabilistic logic , spell , scenario analysis , scenario planning , section (typography) , core (optical fiber) , probabilistic argumentation , management science , operations research , data science , artificial intelligence , engineering , epistemology , mathematics , sociology , telecommunications , philosophy , statistics , management , anthropology , economics , operating system
In this paper, we present a scenario approach and apply it to the Simonshaven case. We offer an outline in which we spell out the core notions of the scenario approach. Next, we give a summing up of criteria to assess and compare scenarios. We use examples of the Simonshaven case to illustrate how the scenario‐approach works. The last section contains a discussion of the main strengths and weaknesses of the scenario approach and a brief comparison with argumentation‐based and probabilistic approaches.