Premium
A STUDY OF SUBJECTIVE PROBABILITY
Author(s) -
Dale H. C. A.
Publication year - 1960
Publication title -
british journal of statistical psychology
Language(s) - English
Resource type - Journals
SCImago Journal Rank - 3.157
H-Index - 51
eISSN - 2044-8317
pISSN - 0950-561X
DOI - 10.1111/j.2044-8317.1960.tb00035.x
Subject(s) - simple (philosophy) , selection (genetic algorithm) , statistics , psychology , mathematics , econometrics , cognitive psychology , social psychology , computer science , artificial intelligence , epistemology , philosophy
Adult subjects predicted the way a small number of items would be selected by chance from a long list of items. The frequencies of their predictions were then compared with the objective probabilities. The results suggest that the subjects avoided what they thought to be unlikely configurations, but that, in doing so, they considered certain aspects of a selection only, and in these appeared to be guided by one or two simple rules which showed only a limited accord with the laws of chance.