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There are several factors that determine the success of high-speed operation. The first and most important is levels of ridership. The aims of this research is to examine whether level of ridership sufficient to cover its costs. Based on long experienced of Asia and Europe it is crucial to ensure level of ridership needed to justify the cost of high-speed systems similar to those in other countries range from eight million to ten million riders per line in the first year. However, given the current ridership level of existing conventional rail, on-going HSR project is unlikely to be able to achieve a level of ridership sufficient to cover its costs except a huge amount of highway travellers shift modes to high-speed to avoid driving in congestion and a significant percentage of induced traffic along the HSR line in a way that uses the high-speed services.

Jakarta-Bandung High-Speed rail transportation project: facts and challenges