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East Ungaran District has various forms of land use, from the many important land uses ranging from settlements, industry, roads and other public facilities. Over time, land use will have changes along with existing development. The development of the Semarang - Solo toll road in 2009 by PT Jasa Marga (Persero) Tbk and of changes the land use in the district and sub-district of West Ungaran, East Ungaran post-expansion area in 2003 is the factors causing land use change in East Ungaran Distric also conducted Analysis. East Ungaran District is one of the areas with the rapid development of the distric. This is the result of increased population and population mobility. Because of these factors, there is a growth of development as well as changes in settlemen that lead to the physical changes of the city. Based on above, it is necessary to research the settlement change in East Ungaran Distric. The method used to determine the hierarchy of rural and urban settlements with characteristics of the region which has the main function of cultivation of the livelihoods of its inhabitants, population density, facilities and infrastructure, the dominance of a broad percentage of land use. The method used to determine determine the direction pattern of the physical development of the the settlement area is Global Moran’s Index while to predict the physical development of the East Ungaran Distric area in 2026 used CA Markov method. This research used high-resolution imagery in 2010 and 2018, and land use maps in 2002, 2010 and 2018. The data were used to analyze the settlement change. Meanwhile, the analysis of changes in land values using the land value zones map of 2002, 2010 and land value zones map of 2018 obtained from field survey results. This method will be assisted with field observations conducted in 2018, with the aim of giving an overview use changes that occur from these results, analyzed the effect of the settlement change on land value change in East Ungaran District as a result of Semarang - Solo toll road development.

iop conference series. earth and environmental science

Analysis of Changes Settlement and Fair Market Land Prices to Predict Physical Development Area Using Cellular Automata Markov Model and SIG in East Ungaran Distric