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After an election, should election officials release an electronic record ofeach ballot? The release of such cast vote records could bolster the legitimacyof the certified result. But it may also facilitate vote revelation, where ananalyst unravels the secret ballot by uniquely linking vote choices on theanonymous ballot to the voter's name and address in the public voter file. Weprovide the first empirical study of the extent of vote revelation underseveral possible election-reporting regimes, ranging from precinct-levelresults to the individual ballot records known as cast vote records. UsingMaricopa County, Arizona, as a case study, we find that cast vote records couldreveal less than 0.2% of any voters' choices in the 2020 general election.Perhaps counterintuitively, releasing cast vote records coded by precinct andvote method are no more revelatory than releasing aggregate vote tallies foreach precinct and vote method. We conclude that cast vote records aresufficiently privacy-protecting, and suggest how the privacy violations that doremain could be reduced.

The Still Secret Ballot: The Limited Privacy Cost of Transparent Election Results