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Residential heating and cooling currently account for approximately 7% ofelectricity consumption of India. A warming climate will increase residentialcooling requirements, while heating needs will decrease which is an alarmingconsequence for India, which has predominantly cooling requirements. Thus, toreduce the energy and carbon footprint of Indian building sector, it isessential to assess the impact of climate change on future heating and coolingneeds and develop energy-efficiency solutions. This research evaluated theeffect of climate change on the heating and cooling energy needs of anarchetypical residential room in India, covering all climate zones. Wedeveloped a novel approach to quantify the heating and cooling load components(walls, windows, etc.) for identifying building elements to be targeted forimproving energy efficiency. Our median climate model predicted that thecooling energy demand of the room archetype would increase by 23-155% by the2090s compared to the 1990s, depending on the city and emission scenario. Wallsand windows account for over 60% of the cooling needs and should be the primetargets for energy-efficiency measures. We also predict between 45-100%reductions in the heating requirements of the archetype room by the 2090s.Walls contribute over 67% to heating needs and should be targeted for heatingenergy reductions.

A Multi-model and Multi-scenario Assessment of the Impact of Climate  Change on the Heating and Cooling Load Components of an Archetypical  Residential Room in Major Indian Cities