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We present an exploratory population dynamics approach, described byLotka-Volterra (LV) generalized equations, to explain/predict the dynamics andcompetition between land use/land cover (LULC) classes over vulnerable regionsin Uruguay. We use the Mapbiomas-Pampa dataset composed by 20 annual LULC mapsfrom 2000-2019. From these LULC maps we extract the main LULC classes, theirspatial distribution and the time series of areas covered for each class. Theinteraction coefficients between species are inferred through the pairwisemaximum entropy (PME) method from the spatial covariance matrices for differenttraining periods. The main finding is that this LVPME method globallyoutperforms the more traditional Markov chains approach at predicting thetrajectories of areas of LULC classes.

Land use/land cover dynamics on vulnerable regions in Uruguay approached by a method combining Maximum Entropy and Population Dynamics