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This paper elaborates a multi-model approach to studying how local sceneschange. We refer to this as the "4 D's" of scene change: development,differentiation, defense, and diffusion. Each posits somewhat distinct changeprocesses, and has its own tradition of theory and empirical research, which webriefly review. After summarizing some major trends in scenes and amenities inthe US context, for each change model, we present some initial findings,discussing data and methods throughout. Our overall goal is to point toward newresearch arcs on change models of scenes, and to give some clear examples anddirections for how to think about and collect data to understand what makessome scenes change, others not, why, and in what directions.

Changing the Scene: applying four models of social evolution to the scenescape