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It has been said that fewer or greater numbers of driver's licenses may beissued in future. However, when we extrapolate based on comparisons to othertransport domains that have high levels of automation like aviation, the futurefor driver's licenses may not be so up in the air. Introduction of autonomoussystems in aviation frequently leads to pilot retraining, and while moderncommercial jets are generally sufficiently capable to take off, fly to theirdestination and land with little in the way of human intervention, pilots arestill required and every pilot must hold a current license with ratings for thetypes of plane they command. Contemporary in-service training for commercialpilots has shifted focus from extended practicing of general flight skills likenavigation and radio use. Pilots now spend many hours each year in simulatorstraining to building knowledge, experience and thus muscle memory for how torespond when the airplane's extensive interconnected collection of semi- andfully-autonomous fly-by-wire systems go awry. While the plane itself isactually flying for much of the time during most flights today, the pilot'slicense still attests to their ability to assume full control and complete theflight where it becomes necessary. We contend a similar future may exist fordriver training and licensure.

How might Driver Licensing and Vehicle Registration evolve if we adopt Autonomous Cars and Digital Identification?