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Increasing urbanization puts ever-increasing pressure on cities to prioritizesustainable growth and avoid carbon lock-in, yet available modeling frameworksand tools fall acutely short of robustly guiding such pivotal decision-makingat the local level. Financial incentives, behavioral interventions, andmandates can drive technology adoption, while land-use zoning policies providethe framework for development of the built environment. Often policies andtheir impacts are evaluated top down, typically on a national scale, orpost-hoc on developments vis-\`a-vis different policies in the past. Suchhigh-level analyses and post-hoc evaluations cannot show possible developmentspathways for specific cities, and hence cannot serve as input to policymakersat the local level such as county, municipal, or city governments. Here, wepresent IMPACT pathways from a bottom-up model with residence level granularitythat integrate policy for technology adoption with zoning policy, climatechange, and grid decarbonization scenarios. With the city at the heart of theanalysis, our results show potential greenhouse gas emission pathways, identifysynergies and trade-offs between policies, and show the importance ofappropriate baselines.

IMPACT: Integrated Multi-Domain Emission Pathways For Cities Under Land-Use Policy, Technology Adoption, Climate Change And Grid Decarbonization