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Results in contact sports like Rugby are mainly interpreted in terms of theability and/or luck of teams. But this neglects the important role of the {\emmotivation} of players, reflected in the effort exerted in the game. Here wepresent a Bayesian hierarchical model to infer the main features that explainscore differences in rugby matches of the English Premiership Rugby 2020/2021season. The main result is that, indeed, {\em effort} (seen as a ratio betweenthe number of tries and the scoring kick attempts) is highly relevant toexplain outcomes in those matches.

The Relative Importance of Ability, Luck and Motivation in Team Sports: a Bayesian Model of Performance in the English Rugby Premiership