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Renowned method of log-periodic power law(LPPL) is one of the few ways that afinancial market crash could be predicted. Alongside with LPPL, this paperpropose a novel method of stock market crash using white box model derived fromsimple assumptions about the state of rational bubble. By applying this modelto Dow Jones Index and Bitcoin market price data, it is shown that the modelsuccessfully predicts some major crashes of both markets, implying the highsensitivity and generalization abilities of the model.

Market Crash Prediction Model for Markets in A Rational Bubble