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A novel model is here introduced for the SOC change index defined as thenormalized difference between the actual Soil Organic Carbon and the valueassumed at an initial reference year. It is tailored on the RothC carbon modeldynamics and assumes as baseline the value of the SOC equilibrium underconstant environmental conditions. A sensitivity analysis is performed toevaluate the response of the model to changes of temperature, Net PrimaryProduction (NPP), and land use soil class (forest, grassland, arable). Anon-standard monthly time-stepping procedure has been proposed to approximatethe SOC change index in the Alta Murgia National Park, a protected area in theItalian Apulia region, selected as test site. In the case of arable class, theSOC change index exhibits a negative trend which can be inverted by a suitableorganic fertilization program here proposed.

Evaluating the impact of increasing temperatures on changes in Soil  Organic Carbon stocks: sensitivity analysis and non-standard discrete  approximation