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Measles is considered as a highly contagious disease that leads to seriouscomplications around the world. Thus, the paper determined the trend and thefive-year forecasted data of the Measles in the Philippines. This studyutilized the time series data for trend analysis and data forecasting using theARIMA model to visualize the measles cases. Figures for the time-series andforecasted results are individually presented with the use of GRETL software.Results showed that there was an increasing pattern of the disease from 2016 to2019. However, there was a decreasing pattern of its occurrence in the nextfive years based on the five-year forecast. Nevertheless, with the results ofthe study, there is still a need to improve the different intervention plans ofthe authority in alleviating the occurrence of the disease though it yielded adecreasing pattern in the future since it is evident that the figure of theforecasted data is still approximately 15,000 and above.

Alleviating Vulnerabilities of the Possible Outbreaks of Measles: A Data Trend Analysis and Prediction of Possible Cases