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We investigate the decline of infant mortality in 42 low and middle incomecountries (LMIC) using detailed micro data from 84 Demographic and HealthSurveys. We estimate infant mortality risk for each infant in our data anddevelop a novel extension of Oaxaca decomposition to understand the sources ofthese changes. We find that the decline in infant mortality is due to adeclining propensity for parents with given characteristics to experience thedeath of an infant rather than due to changes in the distributions of thesecharacteristics over time. Our results suggest that technical progress andpolicy health interventions in the form of public goods are the main drivers ofthe the recent decline in infant mortality in LMIC.

Explaining the Decline of Child Mortality in 44 Developing Countries: A Bayesian Extension of Oaxaca Decomposition Methods