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As the ravages caused by COVID-19 pandemic are becoming inevitable with everymoment, monitoring and understanding of transmission and fatality rate hasbecome even more paramount for containing its spread. The key purpose of thisanalysis is to report the real-time effective reproduction rate ($R_t$ ) andcase fatality rates (CFR) of COVID-19 in South Asia region. Data for this studyare extracted from JHU CSSE COVID-19 Data source up to July 31, 2020. $R_t$ isestimated using exponential growth and time-dependent methods. R0 package inR-language is employed to estimate $R_t$ by fitting the existing epidemiccurve. Case fatality rate is estimated by using Naive and Kaplan-Meier methods.Owing to exponential increase in cases of COVID-19, the pandemic will ensue inIndia, Maldives and in Nepal as $R_t$ was estimated greater than 1 for thesecountries. Although case fatality rates are found lesser as compared to otherhighly affected regions in the world, strict monitoring of deaths for betterhealth facilities and care of patients is emphasized. More regional levelcooperation and efforts are the need of time to minimize the detrimentaleffects of the virus.

COVID-19 in South Asia: Real-time monitoring of reproduction and case fatality rate