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A second wave pandemic constitutes an imminent threat to society, with apotentially immense toll in terms of human lives and a devastating economicimpact. We employ the epidemic renormalisation group approach to pandemics,together with the first wave data for COVID-19, to efficiently simulate thedynamics of disease transmission and spreading across different Europeancountries. The framework allows us to model, not only inter and extra Europeanborder control effects, but also the impact of social distancing for eachcountry. We perform statistical analyses averaging on different level of humaninteraction across Europe and with the rest of the world. Our results areneatly summarised as an animation reporting the time evolution of the first andsecond waves of the European COVID-19 pandemic. Our temporal playbook of thesecond wave pandemic can be used by governments, financial markets, theindustries and individual citizens, to efficiently time, prepare and implementlocal and global measures.

Second wave COVID-19 pandemics in Europe: A Temporal Playbook