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The prediction of the evolution of individual solar cycles is a developingfield, faced with divergence of forecasts even for a few years in the future.Specifically for solar flares, long-term modeling is practically absent even inrough terms. In this article a forecast for the evolution of solar cycle 25 interms of solar flares activity is presented. It is derived from an existingphenomenological model based on the coupling of an internal solar component anda planetary component. In addition to competent temporal resolution, thepredictions are characterized by features which both differentiate the modelfrom other space climate forecasts and make it falsifiable.

Predictions for solar flares activity in solar cycle 25