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We model sectoral production by serially nesting (cascading) binarycompounding processes. The sequence of processes is discovered in aself-similar hierarchical structure stylized in macroscopic input-outputtransactions. The feedback system of unit cost functions, with recursivelyestimated nest-wise CES parameters, is calibrated for sectoral productivitiesto replicate two temporally distant cost share structures, observed in a set oflinked input--output tables. We model representative households by multifactorCES, with parameters estimated by fixed effects regressions. By the integrateddynamic general equilibrium model, we extrapolate potential structuraltransformations, and measure the associated welfare changes, caused byexogenous sectoral productivity shocks.

Restoration and extrapolation of structural transformation by dynamical general equilibrium feedbacks