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Maximum-entropy distributions are shown to appear in the probability calculusas approximations of a model by exchangeability or a model by sufficiency, theformer model being preferable. The implications of this fact are discussed,together with other questions: Prediction or retrodiction? How good is themaximum-entropy approximation? Is this a "derivation" of maximum-entropy?

Maximum-entropy from the probability calculus: exchangeability, sufficiency