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The evolution of opinions in a population of individuals who constantlyinteract with a common source of user-generated content (i.e. the internet) andare also subject to propaganda is analyzed using computer simulations. Themodel is based on the bounded confidence approach. In the absence ofpropaganda, computer simulations show that the online population as a whole iseither fragmented, polarized or in perfect harmony on a certain issue orideology depending on the uncertainty of individuals in accepting opinions notcloser to theirs. On applying the model to simulate radicalization, aproportion of the online population, subject to extremist propaganda radicalizedepending on their pre-conceived opinions and opinion uncertainty. It is foundthat an optimal counter propaganda that prevents radicalization is notnecessarily centrist.

How does propaganda influence the opinion dynamics of a population ?