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Transport generates a large and growing component of global greenhouse gasemissions contributing to climate change. Effective transport emissionsreduction policies are needed in order to reach a climate target well below2$^\circ$C. Representations of technology evolution in current IntegratedAssessment Models (IAM) make use of systems optimisations that may not alwaysprovide sufficient insight on consumer response to realistic policy packagesfor extensive use in policy-making. Here, we introduce FTT:Transport, anevolutionary technology diffusion simulation model for road transporttechnology, as an IAM sub-component, which features sufficiently realisticfeatures of consumers and of existing technological trajectories that enablesto simulate the impact of detailed climate policies in private passenger roadtransport. Integrated to the simulation-based macroeconometric IAM E3ME-FTT, aplausible scenario of transport decarbonisation is given, defined by a detailedtransport policy package, that reaches sufficient emissions reductions toachieve the 2$^\circ$C target of the Paris Agreement.

Integrated assessment modelling as a positive science: private passenger road transport policies to meet a climate target well below 2$^\circ$C