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The proliferation of terrorism is a serious concern in national andinternational security, as its spread is seen as an existential threat toWestern liberal democracies. Understanding and effectively modelling the spreadof terrorism provides useful insight into formulating effective responses. Amathematical model capturing the theoretical constructs of contagion anddiffusion is constructed for explaining the spread of terrorist activity andused to analyse data from the Global Terrorism Database from 2000--2016 forAfghanistan, Iraq, and Israel.

Modelling the Proliferation of Terrorism via Diffusion and Contagion