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This report presents the results of a workshop conducted by the NorthAtlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) Information Systems Technology (IST) Panelin Istanbul, Turkey, in June 2015 to explore science and technology forcharacterizing the impact of cyber-attacks on missions. Military missionsuccess is highly dependent on the communications and information systems(CISs) that support the mission and their use in the cyber battlespace. Theinexorably growing dependency on computational information processing forweapons, intelligence, communication, and logistics systems continues toincrease the vulnerability of missions to various cyber threats. Attacks onCISs or other cyber incidents degrade or disrupt the usage of CISs, and theresulting mission capability, performance, and completion. These incidents areexpected to increase in frequency and sophistication. The workshop participantsconcluded that the key to solving the mission impact assessment problem was inadopting and developing a new model-driven paradigm that creates and validatesmechanisms of modeling the mission organization, the mission(s), and thecyber-vulnerable systems that support the mission(s). Such models then simulateor portray the impacts of the cyber-attacks. In addition, such model-basedanalysis could explore multiple alternative mitigation and work-aroundstrategies - an essential part of coping with mission impact - and select theoptimal course of mitigating actions. Only such a paradigm can be expected toprovide meaningful, actionable information about mission impacts that have notbeen seen before or do not match prior experiences and patterns. The paperspresented at this workshop are available in an accompanying volume, Proceedingsof the NATO Workshop IST-128, Assessing Mission Impact of Cyber Attacks.

Assessing Mission Impact of Cyberattacks: Report of the NATO IST-128 Workshop