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This paper describes a heuristic Bayesian method for computing probabilitydistributions from experimental data, based upon the multivariate normal formof the influence diagram. An example illustrates its use in medical technologyassessment. This approach facilitates the integration of results from differentstudies, and permits a medical expert to make proper assessments withoutconsiderable statistical training.

A Heuristic Bayesian Approach to Knowledge Acquisition: Application to Analysis of Tissue-Type Plasminogen Activator