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A method to quantify the probabilistic controller taskload inherent tomaintaining aircraft adherence to 4-D trajectories within flow corridors ispresented. An Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model of the aircraft motion and a Poissonmodel of the flow scheduling are introduced along with reasonable numericalvalues of the model parameters. Analytic expressions are derived for thetaskload probability density functions for basic functional elements of theflow structure. Monte Carlo simulations are performed for these basicfunctional elements and the controller taskload probabilities are exhibited.

ATC Taskload Inherent to the Geometry of Stochastic 4-D Trajectory Flows with Flight Technical Errors