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Fifty North Sea oil & gas investment transactions were analysed usingtraditional spreadsheet based financial modelling methods. The purpose of theanalysis was to determine if there was a statistically significant relationshipbetween the price paid for an oil & gas asset and the actual or expectedfinancial return over the asset's economically useful life. Several interestingand statistically significant relationships were found which reveal usefulinformation about financial modelling performance, the premia paid to acquireNorth Sea assets, the contribution oil and gas price uncertainty has onestimates of future financial returns and the median financial return of theseNorth Sea Investments.

Evaluating Financial Model Performance: An Empirical Analysis of Some North Sea Investments