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The purpose of this study was to evaluate the performance of an integrated meteorology and storm surge model for both the hind casting and prediction of future climate change intensified cyclones over the Bay of Bengal. This meteorology based storm surge model was developed and applied by integrating a mesoscale WRF model with the wave model SWAN and coastal ocean model FVCOM. The coupled model could capture the actual phenomena of historical cyclone Nargis, which made landfall in Myanmar in 2008, accurately and reproduce the total water level rise due to this event. The model was then used to also simulate future cyclones over the Bay of Bengal taking into account climate change by the year 2100.

NUMERICAL SIMULATION OF CYCLONIC STORM SURGES OVER THE BAY OF BENGAL USING A METEOROLOGY-WAVE-SURGE-TIDE COUPLED MODEL