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In this paper the authors present a procedure for estimating the impact of design choices, dealing with subsystems architecture, basic components reliability performances or maintenance policies, on the service quality provided by a railway or metro system. The procedure is based on the use of an innovative modular simulator, developed by the authors. Through a Monte Carlo approach and a suitable post-processing of the results of the simulated samples, the tool provides the user with a set of indicators for estimating the service quality and the effectiveness of different traffic and fleet management policies, as well as maintenance strategies, in both rated and degraded operating conditions.

Estimate Of Components Reliability And Maintenance Strategies Impact On Trains Delay