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The purpose of this study is to explore the causal and precedence relationships between the housing sub-market and the results of a consumer sentiment survey about the housing market. This study investigates the relationships between the survey results and an apartment deal price index by size and bidding price rate in apartmentauctions by extending research related to consumer sentiment surveys. We surveyed the Seoul Metropolitan Area andanalyzed the results using a unit root test, cointegration test, Granger causality test, and cross-correlation test. It wasconfirmed that causality exists between the survey results and apartment deal price index by size and bidding pricerate, and it was also confirmed that there are correlation and precedence relationships between them. Keywords : The consumer sentiment survey, House sub-market, Apartment market by size, Apartment auction market     「2015    」     . * Corresponding Author : Joo-Hyung Lee(Hanyang Univ.) Tel: +82-2-2220-0276 email: joo33@hanyang.ac.kr Received March 10, 2016Accepted April 7, 2016Revised (1st March 22, 2016, 2nd April 5, 2016)Published April 30, 2016

Study on the Causality and Lead-lag relationship between Size of House sub market and the Consumer Sentiment Survey