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Covid-19 has been rapidly spreading to various regions in Indonesia including to Magetan District which has the 3rd highest cases (0.91%) in East Java Province. This study was aimed to determine the characteristics, effective reproduction number (Rt) and spatial modelling of Covid-19 spread in the Magetan District. This was a cross-sectional study which included 43 patients with confirmed Covid-19. Univariate analysis was used to describe the characteristics of Covid-19. Epiestim was used to calculate Rt while the spread of Covid-19 cases was spatially modelled using Crimestat. On June 28, 2020, Magetan had 96 suspected cases, 104 confirmed cases with 75 cases were recovered and 4 people died. Most of the confirmed cases were at the age group of 40-49 years (22.6%), male (54%), and symptomatic (91.5%). Fever was the most commonly found symptom (81.7%). The Rt for the period March 10, 2020-June 28, 2020 was 1.27 (0.85-1.82; 95% CrI). Spatial analysis showed that the distribution of confirmed cases was widespread in 15 sub-districts. The Covid-19 outbreak was still out of control and still ongoing in Magetan. Therefore, a strong implementation of health protocol is recommended.

Characteristics, Effective Reproduction Number (Rt), and Spatial Modelling of Covid-19 Spread at Magetan District, East Java, Indonesia