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Countries in south-eastern Europe are cooperating toconserve a sub-endemic lynx species, Lynx lynx martinoi. Yet, the planningof species conservation should go hand-in-hand with the planning andmanagement of (new) protected areas. Lynx lynx martinoi has a small,fragmented distribution with a small total population size and an endangeredpopulation. This study combines species distribution modelling with spatialprioritisation techniques to identify conservation areas for Lynx lynxmartinoi. The aim was to determine locations of high probability ofoccurrence for the lynx, to potentially increase current protected areas by20 % in Albania, the former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia, Montenegro,and Kosovo. The species distribution modelling used generalised linearmodels with lynx occurrence and pseudo-absence data. Two models weredeveloped and fitted using the lynx data: one based on natural factors, andthe second based on factors associated with human disturbance. TheZonation conservation planning software was then used to undertake spatialprioritisations of the landscape using the first model composed of naturalfactors as a biological feature, and (inverted) a second model composed ofanthropological factors such as a cost layer. The first model includedenvironmental factors as elevation, terrain ruggedness index, woodland andshrub land, and food factor as chamois prey (occurrences) and had aprediction accuracy of 82 %. Second model included anthropologicalfactors as agricultural land and had a prediction accuracy of 65 %.Prioritised areas for extending protected areas for lynx conservation werefound primarily in the Albania–Macedonia–Kosovo and Montenegro–Albania–Kosovocross-border areas. We show how natural and human factors can beincorporated into spatially prioritising conservation areas on a landscapelevel. Our results show the importance of expanding the existing protectedareas in cross-border areas of core lynx habitat. The priority of thesecross-border areas highlight the importance international cooperation canplay in designing and implementing a coherent and long-term conservationplan including a species conservation plan to securing the future of thelynx

Incorporating natural and human factors in habitat modelling and spatial prioritisation for the &lt;i&gt;Lynx lynx martinoi&lt;/i&gt;

Incorporating natural and human factors in habitat modelling and spatial prioritisation for the <i>Lynx lynx martinoi</i>