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. An assessment of the risks of a seasonally ice-freeArctic at 1.5 and2.0  ∘ C global warming above pre-industrial levels is undertakenusing model simulations with solar radiation management to achieve thedesired temperatures. An ensemble of the CMIP5 model HadGEM2-ES uses solarradiation management (SRM) to achieve the desired global mean temperatures.It is found that the risk for a seasonally ice-free Arctic is reduced for atarget temperature for global warming of 1.5  ∘ C (0.1 %) comparedto 2.0  ∘ C (42 %), in general agreement with other methodologies.The SRM produced more ice loss, for a specified global temperature, than for CO2 mitigation scenarios, as SRM produces a higher polaramplification.

the cryosphere

Brief communication: Solar radiation management not as effective as CO&amp;lt;sub&amp;gt;2&amp;lt;/sub&amp;gt; mitigation for Arctic sea ice loss in hitting the 1.5 and 2 °C COP climate targets