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For regions without enough strong ground motion records, a seismology-basedmethod is adopted to predict motion PGA (peak ground acceleration) values onrock sites with parameters from small earthquake data, recorded by regionalbroadband digital monitoring networks. Sichuan and Yunnan regions insouthwestern China are selected for this case study. Five regional parametersof source spectrum and attenuation are acquired from a joint inversion by themicro-genetic algorithm. PGAs are predicted for earthquakes with momentmagnitude (Mw) 5.0, 6.0, and 7.0 respectively and a series ofdistances. The result is compared with limited regional strong motion data inthe corresponding interval Mw ± 0.5. Most of the results ideallypass through the data clusters, except the case of Mw7.0 in the Sichuan region, which shows an obvious slow attenuation due to a lack ofobserved data from larger earthquakes (Mw ≥  7.0). For furtherapplication, the parameters are adopted in strong motion synthesis at twonear-fault stations during the great Wenchuan Earthquake M8.0 in 2008

Strong motion PGA prediction for southwestern China from small earthquake records