English (United Kingdom)

https://curated-unify.zendy.io/wp-json/zendy-region/v1/featured_content/oa?rat=en

https://curated-unify.zendy.io/wp-json/zendy-region/v1/highlighted_journal/

Global: Zendy Plus annual

Presents the access of premium content as premium feature

Premium Content

Presents the keyphrase highlighting as premium feature

Keyphrase Highlighting

Presents the summarisation as premium feature

Summarisation

Insights

Presents the pdf analysis as premium feature

PDF Analysis

Presents the zaia usage as premium feature

ZAIA

Global: Zendy Tools annual

Global: Zendy Free Plan

Global: Zendy Tools monthly

Global: Zendy Plus monthly

. Climate change is anticipated to alter the demand and supply of water at the earth's surface. Since many societal impacts from a lack of waterhappen under drought conditions, it is important to understand how droughts may develop with climate change. This study shows how hydrologicaldroughts will change across Europe with increasing global warming levels (GWLs of 1.5, 2, and 3 K above pre-industrial temperature). Weemployed a low-flow analysis based on river discharge simulations of the LISFLOOD (De Roo et al., 2000) spatially distributed physically based hydrological and water usemodel, which was forced with a large ensemble of regional climate model projections under high emissions (RCP8.5) and moderate mitigation (RCP4.5)Representative Concentration Pathways. Different traits of drought, including severity, duration, and frequency, were investigated using the threshold level method. The projectedchanges in these traits identify four main sub-regions in Europe that are characterized by somehow homogeneous and distinct behaviours with a clearsouth-west–north-east contrast. The Mediterranean and Boreal sub-regions (defined in Sect. 3.1.1) of Europe show strong but opposite changes at all three GWLs, with theformer area mostly characterized by stronger droughts (with larger differences at 3 K), while the latter is expected to experience areduction in all drought traits. In the Atlantic and Continental sub-regions, the changes are expected to be less marked and characterized by alarger uncertainty, especially at the 1.5 and 2 K GWLs. Combining the projections in drought hazard with population and agriculturalinformation shows that with 3 K global warming an additional 11 million people and 4.5 ×106 ha of agricultural land areprojected to be exposed to droughts every year, on average, with the most affected areas located in the Mediterranean and Atlantic regions ofEurope.

Diverging hydrological drought traits over Europe with global warming