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A regional air quality simulation framework including the Weather Researchand Forecasting modeling system (WRF), the Community Multi-scale AirQuality modeling system (CMAQ), and precursor emissions to simulatetropospheric ozone over South and East Asia is introduced. Concentrations oftropospheric ozone and related species simulated by the framework arevalidated by comparing with observation data of surface monitoring, ozonesondes, and satellites obtained in 2010. The simulation demonstratesacceptable performance on tropospheric ozone over South and East Asia atregional scale. Future energy consumption, carbon dioxide (CO2),nitrogen oxides (NOx), and volatile organic compound (VOC) emissions in 2030under three future scenarios are estimated. One of the scenarios assumes abusiness-as-usual (BAU) pathway, and other two scenarios considerimplementation of additional energy and environmental strategies to reduceenergy consumption, CO2, NOx, and VOC emissions in China and India.Future surface ozone under these three scenarios is predicted by thesimulation. The simulation indicates future surface ozone significantlyincreases around India for a whole year and around northeastern China insummer. NOx is a main driver on significant seasonal increase of surfaceozone, whereas VOC as well as increasing background ozone and methane isalso an important factor on annual average of surface ozone in East Asia.Warmer weather around India is also preferable for significant increase ofsurface ozone. Additional energy and environmental strategies assumed infuture scenarios are expected to be effective to reduce future surface ozoneover South and East Asia

Photochemical roles of rapid economic growth and potential abatement strategies on tropospheric ozone over South and East Asia in 2030