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The study was carried out with an overall objective to analyse the export prospects of coconut in India using Markov chain model. The study relied on secondary data. The data related to coconut export performance were collected from relevant and authenticated sources for the period between 1998-99 and 2017-18. Using the data, the transitional probabilities and steady state probabilities for coconut export were estimated. The analysis revealed that the counties viz., Bahrain, Omen and United Kingdom would be the major partners in future. The results also insisted upon a fact that the present day minor importers also needs to be dealt with much care, since the import potentials with them are immense.

MARKOV CHAIN ANALYSIS ON THE EXPORT PROSPECTS OF COCONUT IN INDIA