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Since the publication of "Theories of games and economic behavior" by von Neumann and Morgenstern (18) in 1943, the mechanism of human decision making under uncertainty has progressively come to the front of the cross research of behavioral scientists of various fields. It is to be noted that the condition of "under uncertainty" casts essentially no restriction upon the general nature of human decision making, since decision is almost always made under more or less uncertain circumstances in spite of the fact that people too often say " It is sure" This sureness is only

SUBJECTIVE INFERENCE VS. OBJECTIVE INFERENCE OF SEQUENTIAL DEPENDENCIES