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Based on the indicative modelling, the changes in Coulomb failure function (?CFS) suggest that the W-HV segment&#13; and the T-P segment could be stable in at least the future 300 years and 190 years respectively, for these&#13; periods should be needed to accumulate the stress released by the M 8.2 Wairarapa earthquake, assuming that&#13; there is no influence from other sources, the earthquake did not alter the failure threshold, and that failure is a&#13; fairly deterministic process. The results also show that the influence on the W-HV segment and T-P segment of&#13; the Wellington Fault caused by the 1855, M 8.2 Wairarapa earthquake is significant considering that the average&#13; fault rupture recurrence interval on the Wellington Fault is about 500-770 years. With our present understanding&#13; of the Wellington and Wairarapa faults, it can be concluded that the 1855 Wairarapa earthquake retarded earthquake&#13; occurrence on the W-HV segment and the T-P segment of the Wellington Fault. Thus the seismic hazard&#13; in the Wellington region may be over-estimated

annals of geophysics

Possible reduction of earthquake hazard on the Wellington Fault, New Zealand, after the nearby 1855, M 8.2 Wairarapa earthquake and implication for interpreting paleoearthquake intervals