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The explanatory power of Bayesian chronological modelling is often overestimated, leading to an uncritical belief in the reliability of each isolated model without the necessary look at archaeological connections between different models. The methodical pitfalls of this approach, especially in combination with inaccurate use of typochronological methods, are highlighted for Linear Pottery Culture (ger. Linienbandkeramik – LBK) and Middle Neolithic chronological models from Central Europe (Jakucs et al. 2016; Denaire et al. 2017; Bánffy et al. 2018). A more critical approach to Bayesian modelling, considering possible mathematical artefacts and the deficits of the actual calibration curve as well as the inherent imprecision of the used typochronological dates, seems to be required. IZVLE∞EK – Mo≠, ki jo nudi Bayesovo kronolo∏ko modeliranje za razlago, je pogosto precenjena, kar vodi v nekriti≠no zaupanje v zanesljivost vsakega posameznega modela, ne da bi se pri tem upo∏tevale arheolo∏ke povezave med posameznimi modeli. Metodolo∏ke zanke tak∏nega pristopa, predvsem ob nenatan≠ni uporabi tipolo∏ko-kronolo∏kih metod, se ka∫ejo predvsem pri preu≠evanju kulture linearno trakaste keramike (nem. Linienbandkeramik – LBK) in kronolo∏kih modelov za srednji neolitik v Centralni Evropi (Jakucs et al. 2016; Denaire et al. 2017; Bánffy et al. 2018). ∞e upo∏tevamo mo∫ne matemati≠ne izdelke in primanjkljaje dejanske kalibracijske krivulje kot tudi nelo≠ljivo nenatan≠nost uporabljenih tipolo∏ko-kronolo∏kih datumov, lahko sklepamo, da potrebujemo bolj kriti≠en pristop k Bayesovemu modeliranju.

‘Robust chronologies’ or ‘Bayesian illusion’? Some critical remarks on the use of chronological modelling